What is "Phimosis?"
"Phimosis" is a vague term. In common usage, it usually means any condition in which the foreskin of the penis cannot be retracted.
Most infants are born with a foreskin that does not retract. This is normal!
"True" phimosis—better termed "preputial stenosis," because "phimosis" has so many different definitions it now is devoid of any useful meaning—occurs in less than 2% of intact males. The incidence of preputial stenosis in circumcised men is actually similar.
Of these 2%, 85–95% will respond to topical steroids. Of those who fail this, at least 75% will respond to stretching under local anesthesia, either manually or with a balloon. At the very most 7 boys in 10,000 may need surgery for preputial stenosis.
Robert Van Howe, MD, FAAP.
In foreskin educated Countries, Phimosis and Paraphimosis are extremely rare
The Finnish National Board of Health provided national case records for the year 1970 for both phimosis and paraphimosis. A total of 409 cases was reported for males 15 years and older,which represents only 2/100ths of 1% (0.023%) of the total male population in that age group. This means that 99.97% did NOT develop a problem. Moreover, according to Finnish authorities, only a fraction of the reported cases required surgery-- a number too small to reliably estimate.
Wallerstein, Edward, CIRCUMCISION: AN AMERICAN HEALTH FALLACY p.128